Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.183021 0.210560 0.242035 0.280934 0.328072 0.383805 0.455373
2025-05-11 0.142597 0.178410 0.224054 0.287642 0.375824 0.496739 0.680507
2025-05-18 0.117635 0.156191 0.209362 0.290458 0.415595 0.609801 0.952790
2025-05-25 0.100751 0.139966 0.197447 0.291704 0.450646 0.725333 1.282377
2025-06-01 0.087932 0.126620 0.186179 0.289863 0.478427 0.836878 1.663925
2025-06-08 0.077582 0.115030 0.175055 0.284946 0.498300 0.939974 2.090515
2025-06-15 0.071642 0.109314 0.172169 0.293254 0.544845 1.115601 2.820681
2025-06-22 0.064580 0.100698 0.162827 0.287339 0.560373 1.228014 3.472233
2025-06-29 0.059914 0.095482 0.158589 0.290318 0.596027 1.406864 4.523982
2025-07-06 0.055121 0.089434 0.151896 0.286825 0.615563 1.552375 5.631742
2025-07-13 0.052064 0.086112 0.149832 0.292735 0.660316 1.797822 7.557829
2025-07-20 0.049499 0.083382 0.148499 0.299965 0.711148 2.095800 10.359477
2025-07-27 0.046970 0.080512 0.146633 0.305982 0.762302 2.437765 14.403463
2025-08-03 0.044855 0.078220 0.145678 0.314168 0.823955 2.876331 20.880744
2025-08-10 0.042547 0.075305 0.143007 0.317508 0.872199 3.304514 29.525463
2025-08-17 0.040328 0.072343 0.139846 0.318954 0.915272 3.755624 41.752641
2025-08-24 0.038084 0.069116 0.135694 0.316907 0.945714 4.177722 57.788465
2025-08-31 0.035830 0.065670 0.130646 0.311409 0.961698 4.540007 77.626143
2025-09-07 0.034692 0.064470 0.130677 0.320707 1.041019 5.430307 131.831028
2025-09-14 0.032723 0.061319 0.125710 0.314088 1.051719 5.850452 182.321302
2025-09-21 0.031463 0.059608 0.124049 0.317422 1.108562 6.745242 309.338337
2025-09-28 0.029925 0.057162 0.120314 0.313512 1.131131 7.393072 479.560902
2025-10-05 0.029019 0.056053 0.119817 0.320128 1.208789 8.761754 1014.082322